Thought experiment regarding the endgame

[GhylTarvoke]

I like your analogy. Here's where I was going with my experiment:

Each Simon has a 50-50 shot at guessing where he is, because neither Simon can make an informed decision. Each Simon hopes that he's on the ARK, but only one of them is - and the Simon at Phi is justifiably disappointed when he opens his eyes. From this perspective, the "coin toss" and Simon's tantrums actually make sense.